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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2022-09-02T19:32:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-09-02T19:32Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/21516/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the SE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and to the S/SE in STEREO A COR2 coronagraph imagery. The source is a filament eruption stretching across the SE quadrant visible in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193 and 304 around 2022-09-02T18:30Z. An opening of field lines is visible off the SE limb in SDO AIA 171 around this time, and post-eruptive loops begin to form shortly after the filament lift-off as seen in SDO AIA 193.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-09-05T10:29Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 27.5%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.33333 - 5.33333
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 45.42 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-09-03T13:04Z
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